At some level, if I was a PLP supporter, I'd argue that the best thing that could happen would be for the OBA to win. After all, there is no way they can fix the PLP's mess without doing some serious damage to anyone that thinks they are entitled to a free ride (unfortunately that's most of Bermuda). End result, next election, the PLP are back in for an undetermined time frame.
That's a fairly troubling prediction (because it means the island is totally hosed, either way), but alas I think there might be something to it. (I suppose it's possible
the PLP could reform internally if they lose this election - not to be perfect, of course, they'd still be a socialistic labout party, but they'd be better
than the current incarnation - but I not sure the odds of that are good.)
if the PLP win and the economy continues to tank ... come next election the PLP will have no-one to blame. Strictly speaking I'm sure they'll blame the UBP but I'd hope the majority of their supporters will have seen thru that. Or maybe not - after all, if 14 years won't do it, how long does it take?
It's an interesting question. I suspect a lot of their supporters simply can't admit the truth to themselves - it would do too much damage to their whole world-model, damage they don't have the stomach to endure. Easier to continue to believe in bogus myths.
The one thing that might be better in 5 years is that many of the PLP's older - and, I suspect, more fervent - supporters will have passed on. I get the impression that younger people are, in general, much more dubious about them (and rightly so, about any
As Planck said
, usually you don't convert people's beliefs - instead, the old ones just die off.